Conveying an Unhealthy Obsession to the Masses
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Rose Bowl Bound!

Posted By: Nick, Off The Pond under Football @ 7:38 am | December 4, 2009 

It was the game the rivalry deserved. And now that it’s over, just a few simple words say it all. The Ducks are going to the Rose Bowl.

Wow.rose

The game wasn’t always always clean, but it was one for the ages.

Ducks and Beavers traded blows for 60 minutes and as has been the case all season, Oregon wore its opponent down in the second half and asserted itself when the game entered the decisive stages.

Until then, it looked like the Beavers might take control and use a script laid out by the Ducks in 2008 to ruin the home team’s Rose Bowl dreams. But would you believe that when things were at their worst, Chip Kelly would turn to LeGarrette Blount for the first time since the season opener?

Putting Blount in the game while facing a nine point deficit seemed crazy. Turns out, it was brilliant as the big back came up with a huge touchdown to draw Oregon within two at 30-28.

From there, LaMichael James became dominant, turning in a 52 yard lead-taking touchdown run on the next offensive series. The defense began to shine after giving up scores on five consecutive drives between the second and third quarters.

When the game was on the line in the final six minutes, it was fitting to see Jeramiah Masoli, James and Blount all turning in huge plays to ultimately ensure the Beavers would never get another chance.

Oregon State played a great game. Sean Canfield looks like a bonafide pro. The Rodgers brothers are ridiculously talented. And they all deserve a much better bowl than what might be available after Saturday’s games. The Holiday had better think long and hard about the Beavers who would travel well and be an ideal representative for the Pac-10 in the league’s second best bowl.

But I’m sure opponent respect isn’t what the Beavers were after. Clearly, they wanted the spoils of the victor, but Thursday, those were reserved for Oregon.

As the final seconds ticked down and melted into a post game celebration where fans could not and would not leave, the scene at Autzen Stadium seemed surreal even through ESPN’s cameras a state away.

I sat and watched. And smiled. And kept smiling. And then I saw that first red rose, and Oh My God! The Ducks are in the Rose Bowl! That really just happened. How sweet it is.


All That’s Left Now is a Football Game

Posted By: Nick, Off The Pond under Football @ 8:53 am | December 3, 2009 
Week 14 Predictions
PreNicktion: Oregon 38, Oregon State 24. I have respect for the Beavers, but the Ducks have been rolling at home.

FOTB Prediction: Green helmet, black jersey, green pants, black shoes. But rumors have Oregon in something a little more “retro meets modern,” so we’ll see. You can simulate this combination here.

It’s Thursday, December 3, 2009 and you know what that means.

This is no time to be timid. Oregon State is thine enemy and no mercy can be shown. Roses are on the line, winner take all and while flowers might seem like a silly thing to play for, to a collegiate man, there’s nothing more valuable.

But don’t mistake the Rose Bowl as the only thing on the line tonight. It’s not all these guys are playing for. Mike Bellotti would tell you it’s for the right to live in the state (well, if you actually live there). Co-workers, family and friends are just a tad more bearable when you have the W on your side.

I come into this game more nervous than a year ago. Perhaps it’s because Oregon’s stakes are higher, but I think it has more to do with knowing the Ducks aren’t dropping 65 on the Beavers two years in a row. By default, this game has to be more competitive.

FOTB Pick

FOTB Pick

But also, the Beavers have their full arsenal on offense with Jacquizz Rodgers healthy this year. Say what you will about the debate between him and LaMichael James running the football, but Rodgers is also the Pac-10’s second leading receiver. He’s dynamic and it’s something OSU didn’t have a year ago.

Still, Autzen Stadium is the security blanket. The defense is far better in front of the home fans and the offense’s worst output in Pac-10 play was 42 points against Cal. The Ducks have been more dominant at home this season than any in recent memory.

At some point, with the raucous energy of the crowd behind them, Oregon is going to have that opportunity to deliver a couple of haymakers. Chip Kelly will put the pedal to the metal and the Beavers won’t know what hit them. I can see this game turning over a 5-10 minute span of defensive and offensive playmaking that demoralizes the orange and black.

But enough already. It’s all words and there’s really nothing left to discuss. It’s been two weeks of rehashed stereotypes and storylines.

The only thing left unsaid is 60 minutes of football. We’re just hours away. Your travel agent is standing by.

Bigger Civil War, 2000 or 2009?

Posted By: Nick, Off The Pond under Football @ 7:29 am | November 25, 2009 

The Civil War count stands at 112. It’s about to move to 113. Through all those games, there have been just a handful that have truly mattered at a national level. In recent memory, a Pac-10 title has been at stake four times (that’s since football began in 1994). Before that, I’d guess the total was probably about four all time.

But really, the argument for “Biggest Civil War Ever” really comes down to one of two years: 2000 or 2009?

You can make an argument for either year. I had been thinking 2009 without question. Now that I look back at it, it’s a lot closer than I thought but two things ultimately make this the bigger game: (1) The winner goes to the Rose Bowl and (2) Media attention is infinitely more intense now.

In arguing for the the 2000 game, you could say both teams were more nationally prominent. The records were much better and Oregon was aiming at becoming one of a select few teams to ever go undefeated in Pac-10 play.

Either way, you can’t go wrong.

Tale of The Civil War Tape
Category 2000 2009
UO/OSU Ranking * 5 & 8 8 & 16
Winner Eligible For Rose Bowl ¥ Both Both
Combined Record Prior to Game 18-2 17-5
Combined Win Percentage 90% 77.2%
Worst Case Scenario for Losing Team Holiday Bowl Las Vegas Bowl
TV Broadcast ABC Regional ?? ESPN HD National
Venue Original Reser Remodeled Autzen
Coaches ± Erickson/Bellotti Riley/Kelly
Star Players † Chad Johnson/Joey Harrington Jacquizz Rodgers/Jeremiah Masoli
Roses Being Waved From Our Car in Corvallis En Route To Game A Bushel None
Soul Crushing Defeats 1 No Freaking Way

* Using AP Rankings.
¥ Oregon State would have gone to the Rose Bowl had Washington lost later that day so technically, the Beavers had a shot going into the game.
± None of the four coaches had/has the cache that Dennis Erickson carried with him off of his Miami Hurricane fame and NFL experience.
I think the 2009 game has more star power, if only because the media is more intense now. Chad Johnson wasn’t even close to a household name yet and Joey Harrington was a year away from a Times Square billboard.

Peerless Pac-10 Prognostications – Week 3

Posted By: Nick, Off The Pond under Football @ 11:04 am | September 18, 2009 

Big weekend for the Pac-10. If ESPN had more than a passing interest in west coast football, they’d come up with a cool nickname for it. Something like “Scintillating Saturday” or “Pac-10 Proving Day.”

Warning: I’m about to homer the hell out of these games, credibility be damned (wait, when did I ever have credibility?).

Last Week: 7-2
Season: 15-3 (1st week was unpublished)

California @ Minnesota
The California “Games That Look Tougher Than They Really Are” Tour continues this week in Minnesota. I guess them being on the road means it’s a bit of a challenge. And oh my God, they have to do it at 9 a.m.! How will they ever cope? No excuses this time, Bears. And no looking ahead either to your loss on Sept. 26 either.

The Pick: California

USC @ Washington

The “Great White Sark” is 1/17th of the way to Tyrone Willingham’s Washington win total. Dare to dream. And, seriously, dream really hard this weekend because no matter what anybody says, you’re not ready for this one. As for USC, I’m not sold yet just because they did what any self-respecting BCS team outside the Big 10 regularly does to Ohio State.

The Pick: USC, of course

Utah @ Oregon
I’m less confident than a mountain climber with a fear of heights on this one. Could be a blowout, but I couldn’t tell you which way. Could be close, too, but I just don’t know. What I am sure of is that when in doubt, be a homer.

The Pick: Oregon

Arizona @ Iowa
Two teams with something to prove. For the Wildcats, it’s been a long time since they were in the top 25 and a win here could get them in. I sense an upset. It’s my first display of blatant Pac-10 homerism.

The Pick: Arizona

SMU @ Washington State
SMU, SMU, SMU. The pick is SMU. Never again will I pick Washington State to win anything. It’s an absurd concept and I won’t be party to it.

The Pick: SMU x 1,000

Cincinnati @ Oregon State
There’s plenty of reason to believe Cincinnati wins this game, especially if “Quizz” can’t play. Whoa, quick side note directed to Mike Riley. You have to stop with this excessive load on one running back. If you insist, then get a running back that’s bigger than my left wrist. You’re killing your guys. Anyway, I don’t know if it’s my unsworn allegiance to those who raised me in an orange and black household or more illicit Pac-10 homerism, but I can’t see the Bearcats winning this game.

The Pick: Oregon State

San Jose St. @ Stanford
Used to be, you’d pick San Jose State in this game and probably be right. Not this year. Stanford has promised no more phantom clipping penalties, almost guaranteeing their touchdowns will count this time.

The Pick: Stanford

Louisiana-Monroe @ Arizona State
Perennial SEC whipping-school Louisiana-Monroe is expanding its paycheck game horizons to the desert Saturday. After this one is over, we’ll be three weeks into the season and still have no idea if Arizona State is worth a damn.

The Pick: Arizona State

Kansas State @ UCLA
Classic game you’d expect the Bruins to tank. But frankly, Kansas State isn’t that good. They just lost to Louisiana-Lafayette and even if Kevin Craft hand-delivers the ball to Wildcat defensive backs in each quarter, UCLA should still win this game. Of course, “should win” is a recipe for disaster with the Bruins so they may just get beat 59-0. Regardless of the outcome, I’m most looking forward to Rick Neuheisel’s constant verbal abuse of Craft.

The Pick: UCLA

Obligatory Conference Predictions

Posted By: Nick, Off The Pond under Football @ 9:05 am | August 10, 2009 

When you go into hiding for the better part of a year, you should have something really poignant for your first post. Well, I don’t. Instead, I’m going with the tried and true prediction entry that I mostly loathe. Might as well get it out of the way and move on to better things. Besides, I’ve gone all homer and made a prediction that will pretty much leave me (1) profoundly sad when it doesn’t come true and (2) looking like an idiot for picking something that hasn’t happened since Lindsey Lohan still had a career. On with it.

  1. Oregon. Listen, you can laugh at it, you can mock it, but I’m sticking with it. I don’t care. I know it’s ridiculous, but I’ve fallen in line every year with everyone else and put “USC at No. 1″ on auto-pilot. I’m not going to do it this year. I have my reasons and they sound a lot better when you consider I’m rooting for it. USC doesn’t have that championship feel this year. I think 2 losses and even 3 is possible. With all of the Ducks toughest conference games at home, it’s not improbable (sure, a little unlikely). In 2007…no, forget that. I’m not discussing it. You know what happened. So do I. There’s no reason to relive it. Let’s just say I feel confident about this Duck team, even with the question marks.
  2. USC. It would be fun to drop them lower, but that would have put my IQ in a class that scientists would liken to brain damage. I don’t know if it’s the quarterback situation or the wholesale changes on defense, but the whole thing doesn’t feel right for the Trojans this year. I even think they’re going to get a battle from Ohio State. No, not really. I mean, come on, it’s Ohio State. Ultimately, USC has to travel to Oregon and to Cal. Throw in the typical sleeper game that bites them and the Trojans could finish a very mediocre 10-2 or 9-3.
  3. Cal. It’s pretty much a consensus this year that Cal and Oregon are USC’s main challengers (which means one of these two teams will probably tank). The Golden Bears haven’t seemed like a top-tier team in a long time but it was just 1 1/2 seasons ago that they rose to #2 in the national polls. If Kevin Riley gives them any semblance of consistency at quarterback (well, good consistency), I like their chances of making a run at the number one spot. Remember, they have beat Oregon three straight times including at Autzen in the year that shall not be named.
  4. Oregon State. Other than my risky homerism, I pretty much agree with the Pac-10 media that voted these four teams at the top. With the Beavers, I’m doing it more on reputation. Everyone has been burned so many times by predicting a letdown season that no one will dare doubt them now. My problem with them is I wonder about playmaking. Jacquizz Rodgers is legit, but he’s more of a workhorse and at his size, injuries are a concern. His brother James is capable of some big plays, but across the board, I don’t see star power on offense. I won’t doubt the defense. They’ve replaced players before with ease.
  5. Stanford. This is the team I see making the leap this year. I’ve grown tired of waiting for Mike Stoops to rage his way into the top half of the conference. It’s not happening. the Cardinal had a great season last year, but couldn’t finish with the home stretch against Oregon, USC and Cal. I envision a 6-2 start for this team before they run into the same year-ending triumverate from a year ago. The season ender at home against Notre Dame could give them their first winning season since 2001.
  6. Arizona State. This team is better than what they did a year ago. A six game losing streak just demoralized them. I’m not saying they bounce back and topple the best teams, but a bowl game should be in the cards for the Sun Devils.
  7. Arizona. Like I said, I’m done with the Wildcats impending rise that has been predicted for about four years now. Making a bowl game for the first time this decade was a positive step, but come on, it was still 6-6. Are we supposed to be impressed by that? Do I still just not like Mike Stoops (or Bob Stoops or Mark Stoops or whatever other brother they can find)? Yeah, that probably has something to do with it.
  8. UCLA. It’s a strange world when schools in Arizona and UCLA can’t get to the top half of the conference. They have weather, location, and everything else that attracts an 18 year old college kid. The Bruins figure to be in for another rough season. They have a tough schedule and there seems to be a huge lack of legit playmakers on the team.
  9. Washington. Moving from 10th to 9th is upward mobility. That’s what the Steve Sarkisian era brings. The record is likely to improve by about three, maybe four games. A team on the rise. Here comes the Huskies. Bow down.
  10. Washington State. I can go the route of being nice to the consensus last place team. Might as well considering the opposition is going to provide enough humiliation. I just can’t, though. This program is in an awful state. Cutting the 60 point opponent outbursts to two would be considered improvement. I can’t believe this has happened to a school that finished in the top ten three straight times earlier this decade.